Lifers: December 2009 Archives

I wonder who the first part of this "new" listing is directed to. 1419 Cottage Street, a cute overpriced cottage that failed to sell last year, is back on the market for a lower, still-too-high price. The specs, as a reminder:

3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, 1,289 sqft, 5,000-sqft lot, built in 1895, MLS(r) #40442977, $619,000 ($480 / sqft)

The agent helpfully confirms this is the same property one may have seen last year (emphasis mine), which saved me a couple of minutes. Thanks!

Yes, this one was on the market last year. New low price and additional work to the finished basement. Square footage will be approx double with some extra work. Quiet neighborhood. Great value.
The Zestimate a year and a half ago... (screenshot taken in Spring 2008; note the owner-inflated estimate):

was close to the then-asking price (screenshot taken today, 12/23/09):

1419-cottage-zillow.jpgThe price has come crashing down to $619,000 and claims to be a great value, even though the renovations are still not finished. Note to agents and sellers: "less than I paid" does not equal "great value" to other people.

Property History for 1419 COTTAGE St

Date Event Price Appreciation Source
Dec 21, 2009 Listed $619,000 -- EBRD #40442977
Aug 17, 2005 Sold (Public Records) $700,000 13.4%/yr Public Records
Aug 09, 2002 Sold (Public Records) $479,000 -- Public Records

On a per-square-foot basis, $480 / sqft is a full $130 / sqft more than the going price these days, which in your case translates to about $170,000. In other words this property should be priced around $450,000. Sure, the agent claims there's a full floor's worth of square footage available, but 1) it's not verifiable unless you look at the permit status and 2) the work isn't finished yet. Expecting a $130 / sqft premium in advance for the promise of square footage when the next owner will have to fork over extra money to be able to live in that square footage is moronic.


Inventory Trends
So welcome back and happy holidays, little house. Happy new year, too.


Sold!--1304 Morton Street, Alameda, CA

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Hi everybody!

1304 Morton Street finally sold in early December for $938,000, according to Redfin.

In summary:

  • April 2008: 1304 Morton St appears on the market, listed at $1,250,000
  • July 2008: the price is dropped to $1,199,000
  • September 2008: the price is dropped to $1,150,000
  • March 2009, almost a year after the initial listing, the property is relisted for $975,000
  • August 2009: the price is dropped to $949,999
  • December 2009: the property closes for $938,000

The extent and quality of the renovation work on top of the previous sale price (above $500,000) means the now former owners likely didn't make their money back on the transaction.

The moral of the story? Don't over-improve, and don't spend 6 figures on your kitchen.

That's a $312,000 price drop from the initial list price (about 25%) and 20 months on the market. I trust Redfin won't begrudge me a full history:

Property History for 1304 MORTON St

Date Event Price Appreciation Source
Dec 02, 2009 Sold (MLS) $938,000 -- Inactive MLSListings #80911577
Nov 12, 2009 Delisted -- -- Inactive MLSListings #80911577
Sep 22, 2009 Delisted * -- Inactive EBRD #4
Aug 21, 2009 Price Changed * -- Inactive EBRD #4
Aug 21, 2009 Price Changed $949,999 -- Inactive MLSListings #80911577
Mar 10, 2009 Listed * -- Inactive EBRD #4
Mar 06, 2009 Listed $975,000 -- Inactive MLSListings #80911577
Jan 01, 2009 Delisted * -- Inactive San Francisco MLS #1
Nov 21, 2008 Delisted * -- Inactive EBRD #3
Nov 20, 2008 Delisted -- -- Inactive MLSListings #2
Jul 22, 2008 Listed * -- Inactive San Francisco MLS #1
Jul 21, 2008 Price Changed -- -- Inactive MLSListings #2
Jul 19, 2008 Price Changed * -- Inactive EBRD #3
Jun 11, 2008 Price Changed * -- Inactive EBRD #3
Jun 11, 2008 Price Changed -- -- Inactive MLSListings #2
May 02, 2008 Listed * -- Inactive EBRD #3
Apr 25, 2008 Listed -- -- Inactive MLSListings #2